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Argus Logistics Chief Intelligence Officer, Mayur Narasimham, has been featured in the February 2024 edition of Inbound Logistics magazine as a Thought Leader on Logistics I.T.
In the interview-style editorial, Mr. Narasimhan emphasizes the significance of predictive analytics for informed decision-making in businesses, particularly in the context of forecasting freight rates.
A. Predictive analytics is a way of using data to make better decisions. It can help us improve our business performance, save money, and satisfy our customers. For example, we can use data to predict how much demand there will be for our products or services, how much capacity we need, how to manage our inventory, and how to avoid risks. We can also use data to offer more value to our customers, such as flexible pricing, tailored solutions, and timely communication.
A. The key is to have good data. We need to collect data from different sources, such as routes, weather, fuel prices, the economy, and social media. We need to get data that is up-to-date, detailed, and accurate. Then, we need to use AI platforms and machine learning models that can process this data and find patterns and trends—allowing us to forecast the rates for the next few days as well as see the bigger picture.
A. Traditional methods can be unreliable, using simple models or averages that don’t capture freight market complexity and variability. They can’t handle unexpected events, sudden changes in demand, or new regulations. We need agile and data-driven methods that can adapt to the changing conditions and reflect the reality of the freight industry.
A. We use historical data to learn from the past, and real-time data to adjust to the present. We use advanced machine learning algorithms to analyze historical data, taking into account factors like seasons, demand cycles, and external influences. This helps us make informed predictions about future freight rates. We also use real-time data to constantly update our predictions. We integrate live information on market movements, fuel costs, world events, and other drivers that affect freight rates.
A. By knowing the future rates, we can plan ahead and make smart choices. We can negotiate contracts with carriers at the best times, and secure capacity at stable costs. We can also ensure timely deliveries for our clients. Moreover, we can use future rate forecasts to guide our strategic network planning. We can locate our facilities in the most cost-effective regions, and choose the most efficient transportation modes.
A. We need to be transparent and trustworthy. We need to protect our data and our clients’ data, and share only what is necessary and relevant. We can use secure and anonymous data sharing methods, such as aggregated reports and encrypted dashboards. We can also give clients control over what data they want to see and how they want to see it.